Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 4.700159 5.093438 5.518876 6.015872 6.583830 7.216625 7.980620
2025-04-06 3.972995 4.494713 5.098315 5.858010 6.802997 7.960008 9.517103
2025-04-13 3.529019 4.103643 4.798200 5.717745 6.932616 8.528954 10.871721
2025-04-20 3.240916 3.848578 4.608415 5.655860 7.110358 9.141438 12.366080
2025-04-27 3.094565 3.746907 4.588969 5.795742 7.556291 10.173736 14.699322
2025-05-04 2.974545 3.662835 4.576437 5.932241 8.002639 11.271742 17.434425
2025-05-11 2.823348 3.521811 4.469120 5.914152 8.203786 12.005670 19.738659
2025-05-18 2.687239 3.389536 4.360055 5.876902 8.361739 12.685339 22.154704
2025-05-25 2.526045 3.211048 4.170198 5.695413 8.254938 12.865776 23.558063
2025-06-01 2.397484 3.070563 4.025127 5.569013 8.222833 13.175289 25.372782
2025-06-08 2.318180 2.995322 3.970274 5.579497 8.427663 13.981882 28.776034
2025-06-15 2.275298 2.969610 3.986747 5.705693 8.855201 15.335615 34.428751
2025-06-22 2.159731 2.835793 3.836575 5.552376 8.764277 15.602569 37.158200
2025-06-29 2.054149 2.712729 3.697444 5.409385 8.682228 15.892635 40.283019
2025-07-06 1.961716 2.604666 3.575105 5.284665 8.619676 16.217352 43.841939
2025-07-13 1.891782 2.527117 3.496334 5.229685 8.691066 16.895145 49.521850
2025-07-20 1.864010 2.512229 3.516703 5.353841 9.154538 18.736696 63.025244
2025-07-27 1.837132 2.496974 3.534870 5.474824 9.631144 20.796056 81.971690
2025-08-03 1.786545 2.441967 3.483346 5.458800 9.795040 21.984216 98.314679
2025-08-10 1.736326 2.385280 3.425696 5.425796 9.914467 23.080978 117.536182
2025-08-17 1.667033 2.295496 3.307334 5.264807 9.704591 23.000747 125.355869
2025-08-24 1.610004 2.223476 3.216401 5.152504 9.602817 23.288605 139.111648
2025-08-31 1.576536 2.188196 3.187181 5.161825 9.807687 24.786939 177.130866